Building Your Day Trade
Method 1
⚠️
Narrow
0.5SD
Method 2
👍
Better
Avg+0.5SD
Method 3
✔️
Robust
Avg+1.0SD
Method 4
💎
Locked
Avg+1.5SD
Method 5
🛡️
Overkill
Avg+2.0SD
Skew Predictions
Enable the Hidden Markov Model (HMM) to detect bullish or bearish market regimes. When enabled, every day at 9:30 AM the model uses strictly prior data (up to the previous close) to calculate a directional skew for that day's strikes. Historical risk and success rates are instantly recalculated using these rolling predictions.
Current Market Regime: Neutral
Calculate Your Strikes
*Calculations assume a $1.00 wing width.
Daily Data Explorer
| Date | O-C($) | Range($) |
|---|
Open-to-Close Strategy Success Rate
This table shows which days each method's calculated range would have contained the final closing price, based on that day's open.
| Date | M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 |
|---|
Intraday Strategy Success Rate
This table back-tests each strategy against historical data. A "success" (✔️) means the Intraday High never went above the Sell Call and the Intraday Low never went below the Sell Put.
| Date | M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 |
|---|